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Humans have a 1 in 6 chance of going extinct within the next 100 years
The Risks to Human Extinction
Asteroid Strike
Super-volcanic Eruption
Stellar Explosion
Nuclear War
Climate Change
Other environmental damage
Natural Pandemics
Engineered Pandemics
Artificial Intelligence
Other Risks
Total Risk
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Chance Within Next 100 Years
1 in 1,000,000
1 in 10,000
1 in 1,000,000,000
1 in 1,000
1 in 1,000
1 in 1,000
1 in 10,000
1 in 30
1 in 10
1 in 20
1 in 6
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Source: Toby Ord in his book 'The Precipice' (written in 2020). Toby is a researcher for University of Oxford's Future of humanity Institute (FIH) which studies the risk of human Extinction.
What the Greats have Said:
Stephen Hawking
"Humans will need to colonize another planet within 100 years or face extinction. With climate change, overdue asteroid strikes and epidemics our own planet is increasingly precarious"
Albert Einstein
"Any future world war nuclear weapons will certainly be employed, and such weapons threaten the continued existence of mankind"
Winston Churchill
"The Dark Ages may return, the Stone Age may return on the gleaming wings of science, and what might now shower immeasurable material blessings upon mankind, may even bring its total destruction"
Theories that involve the end of the world are not amenable to experimental verification- or at least, not more than once. -Carl Sagan
What this means:
Humans have been around for 250,000 years, life has inhabited earth for 3.8 billion years... we happen to be living within the first 55 years of great existential risk, where the threat of human extinction has never been higher. It is the single most pressing issue of our time, to continue our precious species pass this time of immense risk. Please consider buying a t-shirt or donating to help us spread this message, or at the very least enter your email below to join the movement. Thank you and Save the Humans
